تأثیر پیچیدگی اقتصادی بر نابرابری درآمد با تأکید بر نقش شاخص توسعه انسانی در اقتصاد ایران با رویکرد ARDL بوت استرپ

نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی

نویسندگان

1 گروه اقتصاد، دانشکده ادبیات و علوم انسانی، دانشگاه ایلام، ایلام، ایران.

2 گروه اقتصاد، دانشکده اقتصاد و مدیریت، دانشگاه ارومیه، ارومیه، ایران.

10.22103/jdc.2022.18921.1197

چکیده

هدف: هدف مطالعه حاضر بررسی رابطه بین پیچیدگی اقتصادی با در نظر گرفتن واسطه‌هایی نظیر سرمایه انسانی، مخارج دولت و شاخص باز بودن تجارت است.
 روش: از آزمون (ADF) استفاده می‌کنیم و برای بررسی قدرت، از آزمون فیلیپس پرون (PP) و همچنین آزمون زیوت اندریوز با لحاظ یک شکست ساختاری نیز استفاده می‌کنیم. به‌منظور بررسی استحکام تجزیه‌وتحلیل ریشه واحد، ما از آزمون ریشه واحد SOR نیز استفاده کرده‌ایم که شکست‌های تند و هموار را در برمی‌گیرد. برای بررسی رابطه هم انباشتگی بین متغیرها، از روش هم انباشتگی ARDL بوت استرپ مک‌نون و همکاران (2018) استفاده می‌شود.
 یافته‌ها: نتایج نشان می‌دهد پیچیدگی اقتصادی به‌طور قابل‌توجهی با نابرابری درآمد بالاتر مرتبط است. همچنین، باز بودن تجارت و مخارج دولت در بلندمدت باعث افزایش نابرابری درآمد می‌شود. سرمایه انسانی، باعث کاهش نابرابری درآمد می‌شود، اما با در نظر گرفتن اثر افزایشی پیچیدگی اقتصادی بر نابرابری درآمد تأثیری بر بهبود این رابطه ندارد.
 نتیجه‌گیری: برای بهبود رابطه بین پیچیدگی اقتصادی و نابرابری درآمد لازم است سیاست‌هایی اتخاذ شود که اقتصاد ایران از شرایط صادرات تک‌محصولی خارج شود و تنوع صادراتی ایجاد شود.

کلیدواژه‌ها

موضوعات


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