اثر نااطمینانی‌تورم بر شادی در کشورهای توسعه‌یافته و در حال‌ توسعه

نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی

نویسندگان

1 دانشجوی دکتری گروه اقتصاد، دانشگاه پیام نور، تهران، ایران.

2 دانشیار گروه اقتصاد، دانشگاه پیام نور، تهران، ایران.

3 استادیار گروه اقتصاد، دانشگاه پیام نور، تهران، ایران.

4 دانشیار گروه اقتصاد، دانشگاه شهید باهنر کرمان، کرمان، ایران.

10.22103/jdc.2023.19861.1274

چکیده

هدف: با توجه به اهمیت نقش شادی در افزایش بهره‌وری، رشد و توسعه اقتصادی کشورها، شناخت و بررسی عوامل مؤثر بر روی شادی، مهم است. نوآوری مقاله حاضر این است که به بررسی تأثیر نااطمینانی تورم روی شادی می‌پردازد که در مطالعات داخلی و خارجی به این موضوع پرداخته نشده است.
 روش: در پژوهش حاضر، تعداد 100 کشور در دو گروه کشورهای توسعه‌یافته و در حال ‌توسعه در بازه زمانی 2005 تا 2021 انتخاب شده است و از رویکرد رگرسیون داده‌های پانل استفاده شده است.
 یافته‌ها: تورم و نااطمینانی تورم، هر دو شادی را کاهش می‌دهند اما نااطمینانی تورم، شادی را بیشتر کاهش می‌دهد. مقایسه دو گروه کشورها نشان می‌دهد که در گروه کشورهای توسعه‌یافته، نااطمینانی تورم، بیکاری، نابرابری درآمد و تورم، تأثیر بزرگتری در کاهش شادی دارند و درآمدسرانه، باعث افزایش بیشتر شادی می‌شود و در کشورهای درحال توسعه، مخارج سلامت و مخارج دولت، دارای تأثیر بزرگتری در افزایش شادی هستند.
 نتیجه‌گیری: تورم شادی مردم را کاهش می‌دهد اما عدم اطمینان از تورم آینده، شادی آنها را به مراتب، بیشتر کاهش می‌دهد. بنابراین سیاست‌گذاری‌ها باید به گونه‌ای باشد که نگاه مردم به آینده، موجب کاهش شادی امروز آنها نشود.

کلیدواژه‌ها

موضوعات

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